Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-02 8.916422e-01 1.078411 1.275354 1.496863 1.737535 1.989737 2.272662
2025-02-09 6.864127e-01 0.956241 1.260253 1.620927 2.030754 2.476471 2.992722
2025-02-16 5.575163e-01 0.865845 1.230405 1.678590 2.202258 2.784366 3.470796
2025-02-23 4.426987e-01 0.772026 1.180990 1.700996 2.323989 3.029685 3.874419
2025-03-02 3.198070e-01 0.644795 1.072511 1.636858 2.330842 3.131952 4.105003
2025-03-09 2.202026e-01 0.529558 0.964480 1.560914 2.313495 3.197997 4.286939
2025-03-16 1.547607e-01 0.449723 0.892566 1.521609 2.333229 3.301548 4.506873
2025-03-23 1.211515e-01 0.413776 0.876626 1.551327 2.435649 3.501631 4.838392
2025-03-30 8.831015e-02 0.370162 0.844171 1.555006 2.502271 3.656326 5.114470
2025-04-06 5.707439e-02 0.318267 0.792838 1.528277 2.526572 3.756901 5.323959
2025-04-13 4.616465e-02 0.308055 0.805378 1.589645 2.664359 3.996590 5.700241
2025-04-20 3.769167e-02 0.300901 0.821623 1.655534 2.807673 4.242980 6.084672
2025-04-27 3.262982e-02 0.303800 0.858149 1.756471 3.005286 4.566801 6.575474
2025-05-04 2.975170e-02 0.312878 0.906028 1.875488 3.229153 4.926222 7.113144
2025-05-11 2.245889e-02 0.303310 0.919749 1.943153 3.383522 5.197771 7.543069
2025-05-18 1.327849e-02 0.278653 0.903980 1.965618 3.476439 5.391751 7.878373
2025-05-25 3.200315e-03 0.226405 0.830439 1.896822 3.442928 5.423941 8.013955
2025-06-01 5.288529e-07 0.176474 0.751823 1.814366 3.386599 5.424054 8.107516
2025-06-08 NaN 0.143722 0.701411 1.771791 3.382055 5.487638 8.276814
2025-06-15 NaN 0.132854 0.697819 1.804012 3.481976 5.685807 8.613312
2025-06-22 NaN 0.116319 0.677968 1.808007 3.541063 5.830473 8.882756
2025-06-29 NaN 0.094447 0.639874 1.779012 3.551528 5.910752 9.070889
2025-07-06 NaN 0.093721 0.657710 1.845552 3.699736 6.171684 9.486157